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Bill Clinton banned assault weapons in 1994; mass shootings dropped by 43%.

George W. Bush and the GOP let the assault weapons ban expire in 2004; mass shootings increased by 245%.

These numbers tell the whole story.

@Strandjunker
Interesting.

The numbers tell that between before the temporary assault weapons ban and after, mass shootings increased by only 5.4%,
i.e., stayed roughly the same.

@tatzelbrumm @Strandjunker I hope not being dense, but I'm having difficulty parsing your comment - what do you mean?

@patsytheshark @Strandjunker
Just
The Cold Equations:
(43/100) * (245/100) = 1.0535
i.e.,
a drop to 43%
followed by an increase to 245%
results in a modest 5.4% increase overall.

However, I may have read this wrong and
a drop BY 43%
followed by an increase BY 245%
results in
(1-43/100)*(1+245/100) = 1.9665,
i.e., twice as many mass shootings overall.

So the story the numbers tell is actually ambiguous, as usual.

Patsy (she/her)

@tatzelbrumm @Strandjunker

oh I see what you mean! Important analysis to do

And I agree with your second calculation, cos in your first method an increase of 100% would be static. So absence the ban and reinstatement, an overall nearly doubling

I also agree that it's confusingly worded, as these things often are!